Meat and fish hidden inflation: +19.3% per unit vs +3.0% official inflation
By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build
When a meat and fish pack shrinks, its price per gram jumps. In 26 documented meat and fish shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2018–2026), the median price per gram changed +19.3%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +3.0%: official prices up 3.0%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 19.3% over the same periods.
same category, country and time+3.0%
25 of 2696%
shelf prices before and after27
median, all 39 cases since 2018+20.0%
Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.
In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite
Meat and fish in one line
Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.
Meat and fish: official prices were up 3.0% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 19.3% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 19.3% more per gram than the pack they replaced, against 3.0% official inflation for the same category, country and time (26 priced cases with an official match, 2018–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
In 96% of those meat and fish cases (25 of 26), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.
Across all 39 documented meat and fish shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 20.0%, before any change in the shelf price.
In Germany, meat and fish packs that shrank were up 20.0% per gram, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 3.3% over the same periods (22 priced cases with an official match, 2018–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
By country
The same comparison for meat and fish cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 7 of 8 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.
| Country | Cases | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 22 (22 priced) | +20.0% | +3.3% | |
| United Kingdom | 5 (4 priced) | Too thin: 4 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| South Korea | 3 (1 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
| United States | 3 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Spain | 2 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| France | 2 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Hong Kong | 1 (0 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
| Japan | 1 (0 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
By year
By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (1 meat and fish cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.
| Year | Cases | Priced | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases (n) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 8 | 6 | +7.7% | +2.0% (6) |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | too thin | — |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | too thin | — |
| 2023 | 12 | 10 | +16.8% | +5.5% (9) |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | too thin | — |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | too thin | — |
| 2020 | 3 | 3 | too thin | — |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | too thin | — |
The 39 meat and fish cases
Which cases count. All 39 meat and fish cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 26 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 12 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in), and 1 priced case without an official match. Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (5). Not listed: 6 older meat and fish cases that changed before 2018, outside the range of the official data.
| Case (country · when · size) | Per unit | Official, matched |
|---|---|---|
| ASDA tender chicken breast mini fillets United Kingdom · 2026 · 650 g → 600 g (−7.7%) | +9.0% | +2.3% Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 · broad match |
| Nadler Dill Sahne Heringsfilets mit Gurke & Zwiebel Germany · 2026 · 400 g → 380 g (−5.0%) | +5.3% | +1.7% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2026 · broad match |
| Rewe Bio Mini-Salami Germany · 2026 · 25 g → 20 g (−20.0%) | +25.0% | +3.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2026 · broad match |
| Tesco Finest roast turkey breast slices (UK) United Kingdom · 2026 · 120 g → 100 g (−16.7%) | +12.0% | +2.3% Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 · broad match |
| Tesco roast chicken drumsticks (UK) United Kingdom · 2026 · 430 g → 350 g (−18.6%) | +6.5% | +0.1% Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Aug 2026 · broad match |
| Tesco roast half chicken (UK) United Kingdom · 2026 · 600 g → 500 g (−16.7%) | +5.6% | +0.1% Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Aug 2026 · broad match |
| Nadler Hering in Gelee Germany · 2025 · 200 g → 160 g (−20.0%) | +35.0% | +2.9% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match |
| Wiltmann Bio Rein Rind Salami Germany · 2025 · 80 g → 50 g (−37.5%) | +49.3% | +2.9% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match |
| Wiltmann Rein Rind Salami Germany · 2025 · 70 g → 50 g (−28.6%) | +28.8% | +2.9% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match |
| Beyond Meat Hack Germany · 2024 · 300 g → 250 g (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +0.1% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2024 · broad match |
| Jack Links Beef Jerky Sweet & Hot Germany · 2024 · 70 g → 60 g (−14.3%) | +5.0% | +1.4% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2024 · broad match |
| Wiltmann Westfälische Salami Germany · 2024 · 400 g → 250 g (−37.5%) | +19.9% | +0.6% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2024 · broad match |
| Almare Sockeye Wildlachs (Aldi) Germany · 2023 · 150 g → 100 g (−33.3%) | +7.1% | +5.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2023 · broad match |
| Costa GGN Lachsfilets Germany · 2023 · 450 g → 420 g (−6.7%) | +7.1% | +10.3% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2023 · broad match |
| Costa Lachsfilets Germany · 2023 · 250 g → 220 g (−12.0%) | +13.6% | +6.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2023 · broad match |
| Costa Wildlachsfilets Germany · 2023 · 250 g → 200 g (−20.0%) | +25.0% | +6.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2023 · broad match |
| Mehlig & Heller Mutters Leberwurst Germany · 2023 · 300 g → 250 g (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +5.6% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2023 · broad match |
| Mühlenhof Hauchzarter Genuss Nussschinken Germany · 2023 · 125 g → 90 g (−28.0%) | +38.9% | +3.2% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2023 · broad match |
| Protein Chunks Hack Germany · 2023 · 175 g → 125 g (−28.6%) | +24.4% | +5.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2023 · broad match |
| Vegetarische Mühlen Salami Minis Germany · 2023 · 180 g → 165 g (−8.3%) | +9.1% | +3.0% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2023 · broad match |
| Vegetarische Mühlen Würstchen Germany · 2023 · 200 g → 165 g (−17.5%) | +21.2% | +3.0% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2023 · broad match |
| Jack‘s Farm Lammsteaks gesalzen (Aldi) Germany · 2022 · 400 g → 300 g (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +18.8% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2022 · broad match |
| Bifi-Roll Germany · 2020 · 150 g → 135 g (−10.0%) | +15.8% | +8.0% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020 · broad match |
| Edeka Calamares à la Romana Germany · 2020 · 500 g → 400 g (−20.0%) | +18.6% | +3.9% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2020 · broad match |
| Ringsalami Pur Porc Germany · 2020 · 400 g → 300 g (−25.0%) | +14.6% | +4.8% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2020 · broad match |
| Dulano Truthahn Salami Light Germany · 2018 · 200 g → 100 g (−50.0%) | +33.0% | +0.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2018 · broad match |
| Nippon Ham Schau Essen sausages, 2-pack bundle (Japan) Japan · 2026 · 234 g → 214 g (−8.5%) | size only size cut alone +9.3% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Oscar Mayer Beef Franks United States · 2026 · 16 oz → 15 oz (−6.2%) | size only size cut alone +6.7% | +5.3% Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months) |
| Fleury Michon hachés à poêler au jambon (France) France · 2024 · 400 g → 380 g (−5.0%) | size only size cut alone +5.3% | +0.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 12 months to Apr 2024 · broad match |
| Otel O'Farm processed meat (South Korea) South Korea · 2024 · 800 g → 700 g (−12.5%) | size only size cut alone +14.3% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Tulip skinless hot dog sausages, 10 pack (Hong Kong) Hong Kong · 2021–2024 · 250 g → 200 g (−20.0%) | size only size cut alone +25.0% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Auchan jambon supérieur slices France · 2023 · 45 g → 40 g (−11.1%) | size only size cut alone +12.5% | +10.5% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 2023 average vs 2022 · broad match |
| CJ Baeksul Grill Vienna sausages, 2-pack (South Korea) South Korea · 2023 · 640 g → 560 g (−12.5%) | +7.2% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| CJ charcoal-flavour barbecue bar (South Korea) South Korea · 2023 · 280 g → 230 g (−17.9%) | size only size cut alone +21.7% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Campofrío jamón cocido €1 pack Spain · 2022 · 110 g → 90 g (−18.2%) | size only size cut alone +22.2% | +9.0% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match |
| Revilla chorizo €1 pack Spain · 2022 · 80 g → 70 g (−12.5%) | size only size cut alone +14.3% | +9.0% Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match |
| Richmond meat-free sausages United Kingdom · 2022 · 336 g → 304 g (−9.5%) | size only size cut alone +10.5% | +11.1% Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match |
| Season Sardines United States · 2021 · 4.375 oz → 3.75 oz (−14.3%) | size only size cut alone +16.7% | +7.9% Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Aug 2021 |
| Walmart Chicken Caesar Salad United States · 2021 · 14.375 oz → 12.1 oz (−15.8%) | size only size cut alone +18.8% | +7.9% Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Aug 2021 |
Official series used
Each meat and fish case is matched to one official series for its country. EU series is meat only A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.
| Official series | Provider | Cases matched |
|---|---|---|
| Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals DE:CP0112 · broad match | Eurostat HICP (DE) | 22 |
| Meat UK:D7D6 · broad match | ONS CPI (UK) | 5 |
| Meats, poultry, and fish CUUR0000SAF1121 | BLS CPI-U (US) | 3 |
| Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals ES:CP0112 · broad match | Eurostat HICP (ES) | 2 |
| Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals FR:CP0112 · broad match | Eurostat HICP (FR) | 2 |
Method and limits
Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.
Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when meat and fish shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.
Cite this page
ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: meat and fish hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/meat-and-fish/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0).
More on meat and fish
- ShrinkRadar Index: all categories →Every category, country, month and year, with CSV downloads.
- Meat and fish shrinkflation →Every documented case in one place, brand by brand.
- All Meat & Fish cases and tracked products →Size Facts, brands caught most often and products we check daily.
- shrinkflation-index.csv →Every Index figure, including this category, with case counts and a status column for thin rows.
Other categories in the Index
- Chocolate and candy +20.0% vs +8.7%
- Pasta, rice and meals +16.4% vs −0.7%
- Chips and snacks +19.5% vs +4.7%
- Dairy +11.1% vs +4.8%
- Breakfast cereal +25.0% vs +2.6%
- Laundry +14.5% vs +2.0%
- Coffee and tea +25.0% vs +11.6%
- Cookies and crackers +21.2% vs +1.3%
- Personal Care +27.9% vs +1.6%
- Soap, shampoo and body wash +21.4% vs +1.9%
- Dish soap and cleaners +11.1% vs +1.7%
- Juice and soft drinks +33.2% vs +5.0%
- Frozen Foods +16.9% vs +3.8%
- Baking goods and spreads +25.1% vs +2.8%
- Pet Food +17.6% vs +1.9%
- Bread and bakery +16.0% vs +1.6%
- Toilet Paper +29.4% vs +28.8%
- Health and supplements +15.2% vs +3.2%
- Ice Cream +9.5% vs +6.6%
- Paper Towels +25.8% vs +28.8%
Closest to a figure (priced cases with an official match now, of 5 needed): Baby 4, needs 1 more; Household 4, needs 1 more; Oral Care 4, needs 1 more; Tissues 4, needs 1 more; Feminine Care 3, needs 2 more; Shaving & Razors 2, needs 3 more; Cat Litter & Pet Supplies 1, needs 4 more; Deodorant 1, needs 4 more; Bags, Foil & Wrap 0, needs 5 more.