Meat and fish hidden inflation: +19.3% per unit vs +3.0% official inflation

By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build

When a meat and fish pack shrinks, its price per gram jumps. In 26 documented meat and fish shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2018–2026), the median price per gram changed +19.3%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +3.0%: official prices up 3.0%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 19.3% over the same periods.

Meat and fish
Price per unit at the shrink
median, 26 priced cases with an official match
+19.3%
Official inflation, same cases
same category, country and time
+3.0%
Cases where the per-unit rise beat official inflation
25 of 26
96%
Priced cases
shelf prices before and after
27
From the size cut alone
median, all 39 cases since 2018
+20.0%

Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.

In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite

Meat and fish in one line

Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.

  1. Meat and fish: official prices were up 3.0% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 19.3% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 19.3% more per gram than the pack they replaced, against 3.0% official inflation for the same category, country and time (26 priced cases with an official match, 2018–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

  2. In 96% of those meat and fish cases (25 of 26), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.

  3. Across all 39 documented meat and fish shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 20.0%, before any change in the shelf price.

  4. In Germany, meat and fish packs that shrank were up 20.0% per gram, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 3.3% over the same periods (22 priced cases with an official match, 2018–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

By country

The same comparison for meat and fish cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 7 of 8 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.

CountryCasesPer unit (median)Official, same casesBeat officialSize cut aloneOfficial data
Germany22 (22 priced)+20.0%+3.3%95%+25.0%Eurostat HICP
United Kingdom5 (4 priced)Too thin: 4 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)+20.0%ONS CPI
South Korea3 (1 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—
United States3 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewBLS CPI-U
Spain2 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
France2 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
Hong Kong1 (0 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—
Japan1 (0 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—

By year

By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (1 meat and fish cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.

YearCasesPricedPer unit (median)Official, same cases (n)Size cut alone
2026 (so far)86+7.7%+2.0% (6)+14.7%
202533too thin—too few
202453too thin—+16.7%
20231210+16.8%+5.5% (9)+20.6%
202241too thin—too few
202120too thin—too few
202033too thin—too few
201811too thin—too few

The 39 meat and fish cases

Which cases count. All 39 meat and fish cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 26 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 12 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in), and 1 priced case without an official match. Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (5). Not listed: 6 older meat and fish cases that changed before 2018, outside the range of the official data.

Case (country · when · size)Per unitOfficial, matched
ASDA tender chicken breast mini fillets
United Kingdom · 2026 · 650 g → 600 g (−7.7%)
+9.0%+2.3%
Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 · broad match
Nadler Dill Sahne Heringsfilets mit Gurke & Zwiebel
Germany · 2026 · 400 g → 380 g (−5.0%)
+5.3%+1.7%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2026 · broad match
Rewe Bio Mini-Salami
Germany · 2026 · 25 g → 20 g (−20.0%)
+25.0%+3.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2026 · broad match
Tesco Finest roast turkey breast slices (UK)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 120 g → 100 g (−16.7%)
+12.0%+2.3%
Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 · broad match
Tesco roast chicken drumsticks (UK)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 430 g → 350 g (−18.6%)
+6.5%+0.1%
Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Aug 2026 · broad match
Tesco roast half chicken (UK)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 600 g → 500 g (−16.7%)
+5.6%+0.1%
Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Aug 2026 · broad match
Nadler Hering in Gelee
Germany · 2025 · 200 g → 160 g (−20.0%)
+35.0%+2.9%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match
Wiltmann Bio Rein Rind Salami
Germany · 2025 · 80 g → 50 g (−37.5%)
+49.3%+2.9%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match
Wiltmann Rein Rind Salami
Germany · 2025 · 70 g → 50 g (−28.6%)
+28.8%+2.9%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2025 · broad match
Beyond Meat Hack
Germany · 2024 · 300 g → 250 g (−16.7%)
+20.0%+0.1%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2024 · broad match
Jack Links Beef Jerky Sweet & Hot
Germany · 2024 · 70 g → 60 g (−14.3%)
+5.0%+1.4%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2024 · broad match
Wiltmann Westfälische Salami
Germany · 2024 · 400 g → 250 g (−37.5%)
+19.9%+0.6%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2024 · broad match
Almare Sockeye Wildlachs (Aldi)
Germany · 2023 · 150 g → 100 g (−33.3%)
+7.1%+5.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2023 · broad match
Costa GGN Lachsfilets
Germany · 2023 · 450 g → 420 g (−6.7%)
+7.1%+10.3%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2023 · broad match
Costa Lachsfilets
Germany · 2023 · 250 g → 220 g (−12.0%)
+13.6%+6.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2023 · broad match
Costa Wildlachsfilets
Germany · 2023 · 250 g → 200 g (−20.0%)
+25.0%+6.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2023 · broad match
Mehlig & Heller Mutters Leberwurst
Germany · 2023 · 300 g → 250 g (−16.7%)
+20.0%+5.6%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2023 · broad match
Mühlenhof Hauchzarter Genuss Nussschinken
Germany · 2023 · 125 g → 90 g (−28.0%)
+38.9%+3.2%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2023 · broad match
Protein Chunks Hack
Germany · 2023 · 175 g → 125 g (−28.6%)
+24.4%+5.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2023 · broad match
Vegetarische Mühlen Salami Minis
Germany · 2023 · 180 g → 165 g (−8.3%)
+9.1%+3.0%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2023 · broad match
Vegetarische Mühlen Würstchen
Germany · 2023 · 200 g → 165 g (−17.5%)
+21.2%+3.0%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2023 · broad match
Jack‘s Farm Lammsteaks gesalzen (Aldi)
Germany · 2022 · 400 g → 300 g (−25.0%)
+33.3%+18.8%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2022 · broad match
Bifi-Roll
Germany · 2020 · 150 g → 135 g (−10.0%)
+15.8%+8.0%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020 · broad match
Edeka Calamares à la Romana
Germany · 2020 · 500 g → 400 g (−20.0%)
+18.6%+3.9%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Nov 2020 · broad match
Ringsalami Pur Porc
Germany · 2020 · 400 g → 300 g (−25.0%)
+14.6%+4.8%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2020 · broad match
Dulano Truthahn Salami Light
Germany · 2018 · 200 g → 100 g (−50.0%)
+33.0%+0.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2018 · broad match
Nippon Ham Schau Essen sausages, 2-pack bundle (Japan)
Japan · 2026 · 234 g → 214 g (−8.5%)
size only
size cut alone +9.3%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Oscar Mayer Beef Franks
United States · 2026 · 16 oz → 15 oz (−6.2%)
size only
size cut alone +6.7%
+5.3%
Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months)
Fleury Michon hachés à poêler au jambon (France)
France · 2024 · 400 g → 380 g (−5.0%)
size only
size cut alone +5.3%
+0.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 12 months to Apr 2024 · broad match
Otel O'Farm processed meat (South Korea)
South Korea · 2024 · 800 g → 700 g (−12.5%)
size only
size cut alone +14.3%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Tulip skinless hot dog sausages, 10 pack (Hong Kong)
Hong Kong · 2021–2024 · 250 g → 200 g (−20.0%)
size only
size cut alone +25.0%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Auchan jambon supérieur slices
France · 2023 · 45 g → 40 g (−11.1%)
size only
size cut alone +12.5%
+10.5%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 2023 average vs 2022 · broad match
CJ Baeksul Grill Vienna sausages, 2-pack (South Korea)
South Korea · 2023 · 640 g → 560 g (−12.5%)
+7.2%no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
CJ charcoal-flavour barbecue bar (South Korea)
South Korea · 2023 · 280 g → 230 g (−17.9%)
size only
size cut alone +21.7%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Campofrío jamón cocido €1 pack
Spain · 2022 · 110 g → 90 g (−18.2%)
size only
size cut alone +22.2%
+9.0%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match
Revilla chorizo €1 pack
Spain · 2022 · 80 g → 70 g (−12.5%)
size only
size cut alone +14.3%
+9.0%
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match
Richmond meat-free sausages
United Kingdom · 2022 · 336 g → 304 g (−9.5%)
size only
size cut alone +10.5%
+11.1%
Meat · ONS CPI (UK) · 2022 average vs 2021 · broad match
Season Sardines
United States · 2021 · 4.375 oz → 3.75 oz (−14.3%)
size only
size cut alone +16.7%
+7.9%
Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Aug 2021
Walmart Chicken Caesar Salad
United States · 2021 · 14.375 oz → 12.1 oz (−15.8%)
size only
size cut alone +18.8%
+7.9%
Meats, poultry, and fish · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Aug 2021

Official series used

Each meat and fish case is matched to one official series for its country. EU series is meat only A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.

Official seriesProviderCases matched
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals DE:CP0112 · broad matchEurostat HICP (DE)22
Meat UK:D7D6 · broad matchONS CPI (UK)5
Meats, poultry, and fish CUUR0000SAF1121BLS CPI-U (US)3
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals ES:CP0112 · broad matchEurostat HICP (ES)2
Live animals, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals FR:CP0112 · broad matchEurostat HICP (FR)2

Method and limits

Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.

Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when meat and fish shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.

Cite this page

ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: meat and fish hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/meat-and-fish/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0).

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