Personal care hidden inflation: +27.9% per unit vs +1.6% official inflation

By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build

When a personal care pack shrinks, its price per unit jumps. In 22 documented personal care shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2020–2026), the median price per unit changed +27.9%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +1.6%: official prices up 1.6%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 27.9% over the same periods.

Personal care
Price per unit at the shrink
median, 22 priced cases with an official match
+27.9%
Official inflation, same cases
same category, country and time
+1.6%
Cases where the per-unit rise beat official inflation
22 of 22
100%
Priced cases
shelf prices before and after
22
From the size cut alone
median, all 27 cases since 2018
+33.3%

Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.

In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite

Personal care in one line

Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.

  1. Personal care: official prices were up 1.6% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 27.9% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 27.9% more per unit than the pack they replaced, against 1.6% official inflation for the same category, country and time (22 priced cases with an official match, 2020–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

  2. In 100% of those personal care cases (22 of 22), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.

  3. Across all 27 documented personal care shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 33.3%, before any change in the shelf price.

  4. In Germany, personal care packs that shrank were up 33.3% per unit, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 1.6% over the same periods (19 priced cases with an official match, 2020–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

By country

The same comparison for personal care cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 6 of 7 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.

CountryCasesPer unit (median)Official, same casesBeat officialSize cut aloneOfficial data
Germany19 (19 priced)+33.3%+1.6%100%+33.3%Eurostat HICP
Austria3 (1 priced)Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
Netherlands1 (1 priced)Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
United Kingdom1 (1 priced)Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5)too fewONS CPI
Hungary1 (0 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—
South Korea1 (0 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—
United States1 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewBLS CPI-U

By year

By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (0 personal care cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.

YearCasesPricedPer unit (median)Official, same cases (n)Size cut alone
2026 (so far)22too thin—too few
202532too thin—too few
2024128+27.9%+1.9% (8)+33.3%
202311too thin—too few
202211too thin—too few
202144too thin—too few
202044too thin—too few

The 27 personal care cases

Which cases count. All 27 personal care cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 22 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 5 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in). Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (2).

Case (country · when · size)Per unitOfficial, matched
Nivea Sun Ultra Sensitive SPF 50 sun cream (UK)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 50 ml → 40 ml (−20.0%)
+25.0%+1.5%
Appliances, articles and products for personal care · ONS CPI (UK) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months)
Nivea Sun UV Gesicht Anti-Age LSF 50+
Germany · 2026 · 50 ml → 40 ml (−20.0%)
+25.0%+1.2%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Mar 2026
Maria Nila Extreme Spray
Germany · 2025 · 400 ml → 300 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%+1.5%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025
Nivea Sun Schutz & Pflege LSF 30
Germany · 2025 · 250 ml → 200 ml (−20.0%)
+25.0%+3.0%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2025
Alverde Naturkosmetik Mineral Puder
Germany · 2024 · 10 g → 5 g (−50.0%)
+100.0%+1.6%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2024
Fusswohl Fussbutter Sheabutter & Avocadoöl
Germany · 2024 · 200 ml → 150 ml (−25.0%)
+24.4%+1.6%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2024
Garnier Hand Repair
Germany · 2024 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%+2.0%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2024
Head & Shoulders XXL Classic Clean
Germany · 2024 · 900 ml → 800 ml (−11.1%)
+12.5%+1.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2024
Manhattan Lasting Perfection Compact Make-up 009 Honey
Germany · 2024 · 10 g → 7 g (−30.0%)
+114.4%+2.3%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2024
Neutrogena Body Lotion Gel Hydro Boost
Germany · 2024 · 400 ml → 250 ml (−37.5%)
+27.7%+2.0%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2024
Schicker's Erdäpfelcreme Die Echte (Austria)
Austria · 2024 · 300 ml → 250 ml (−16.7%)
+20.0%+1.2%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024
Vision zonnebrandmiddel
Netherlands · 2024 · 200 g → 180 g (−10.0%)
+28.2%+1.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (NL) · 2024 average vs 2023
Garnier Ambre Solaire Sensitive expert+ Milch LSF 50+
Germany · 2023 · 200 ml → 175 ml (−12.5%)
+14.3%+12.0%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2023
Balea Leichte Bodylotion
Germany · 2022 · 500 ml → 400 ml (−20.0%)
+11.8%+6.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2022
Elkos MED Bodylotion Urea
Germany · 2021 · 400 ml → 300 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%+0.7%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2021
Elnett Haarspray Intensives Volumen
Germany · 2021 · 300 ml → 250 ml (−16.7%)
+20.0%+5.4%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2021
Garnier Mizellen Reinigungswasser All-in-1 Normale Haut
Germany · 2021 · 400 ml → 375 ml (−6.2%)
+40.4%+4.3%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2021
Nivea Hand Creme Intensive Pflege
Germany · 2021 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%−0.6%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2021
Arya Laya Aloe Vera Body Lotion
Germany · 2020 · 200 ml → 150 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%+0.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020
Dr. Hauschka Gesichtsöl
Germany · 2020 · 30 ml → 18 ml (−40.0%)
+36.4%+0.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020
Ebelin Nagellack Entferner Acetonfrei, Aloe Vera Duft
Germany · 2020 · 200 ml → 125 ml (−37.5%)
+9.5%−2.6%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2020
Rituals Dao Body Scrub
Germany · 2020 · 325 ml → 200 ml (−38.5%)
+38.4%+0.9%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020
TRESemmé Care & Protect heat protection spray (Hungary)
Hungary · 2025 · 300 ml → 270 ml (−10.0%)
size only
size cut alone +11.1%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Garnier Hand Repair hand cream (Austria)
Austria · 2024 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%)
size only
size cut alone +33.3%
+1.2%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024
Neutrogena Deep Moisture body lotion (Austria)
Austria · 2024 · 400 ml → 250 ml (−37.5%)
size only
size cut alone +60.0%
+1.2%
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024
Q-tips cotton swabs, warehouse-club multipack
United States · 2024 · 1875 swabs → 1750 swabs (−6.7%)
size only
size cut alone +7.1%
+0.5%
Personal care products · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2024
Songreve kids facial cleanser, candy scent (South Korea)
South Korea · 2024 · 200 ml → 180 ml (−10.0%)
size only
size cut alone +11.1%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country

Official series used

Each personal care case is matched to one official series for its country. A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.

Official seriesProviderCases matched
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care DE:CP1312Eurostat HICP (DE)19
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care AT:CP1312Eurostat HICP (AT)3
Personal care products CUUR0000SEGBBLS CPI-U (US)1
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care NL:CP1312Eurostat HICP (NL)1
Appliances, articles and products for personal care UK:D7EZONS CPI (UK)1

Method and limits

Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.

Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when personal care shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.

Cite this page

ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: personal care hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/personal-care/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0).

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More on personal care

Other categories in the Index

Closest to a figure (priced cases with an official match now, of 5 needed): Baby 4, needs 1 more; Household 4, needs 1 more; Oral Care 4, needs 1 more; Tissues 4, needs 1 more; Feminine Care 3, needs 2 more; Shaving & Razors 2, needs 3 more; Cat Litter & Pet Supplies 1, needs 4 more; Deodorant 1, needs 4 more; Bags, Foil & Wrap 0, needs 5 more.