Personal care hidden inflation: +27.9% per unit vs +1.6% official inflation
By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build
When a personal care pack shrinks, its price per unit jumps. In 22 documented personal care shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2020–2026), the median price per unit changed +27.9%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +1.6%: official prices up 1.6%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 27.9% over the same periods.
same category, country and time+1.6%
22 of 22100%
shelf prices before and after22
median, all 27 cases since 2018+33.3%
Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.
In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite
Personal care in one line
Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.
Personal care: official prices were up 1.6% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 27.9% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 27.9% more per unit than the pack they replaced, against 1.6% official inflation for the same category, country and time (22 priced cases with an official match, 2020–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
In 100% of those personal care cases (22 of 22), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.
Across all 27 documented personal care shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 33.3%, before any change in the shelf price.
In Germany, personal care packs that shrank were up 33.3% per unit, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 1.6% over the same periods (19 priced cases with an official match, 2020–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
By country
The same comparison for personal care cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 6 of 7 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.
| Country | Cases | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 19 (19 priced) | +33.3% | +1.6% | |
| Austria | 3 (1 priced) | Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Netherlands | 1 (1 priced) | Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| United Kingdom | 1 (1 priced) | Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Hungary | 1 (0 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
| South Korea | 1 (0 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
| United States | 1 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
By year
By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (0 personal care cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.
| Year | Cases | Priced | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases (n) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 2 | 2 | too thin | — |
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | too thin | — |
| 2024 | 12 | 8 | +27.9% | +1.9% (8) |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | too thin | — |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | too thin | — |
| 2021 | 4 | 4 | too thin | — |
| 2020 | 4 | 4 | too thin | — |
The 27 personal care cases
Which cases count. All 27 personal care cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 22 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 5 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in). Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (2).
| Case (country · when · size) | Per unit | Official, matched |
|---|---|---|
| Nivea Sun Ultra Sensitive SPF 50 sun cream (UK) United Kingdom · 2026 · 50 ml → 40 ml (−20.0%) | +25.0% | +1.5% Appliances, articles and products for personal care · ONS CPI (UK) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months) |
| Nivea Sun UV Gesicht Anti-Age LSF 50+ Germany · 2026 · 50 ml → 40 ml (−20.0%) | +25.0% | +1.2% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Mar 2026 |
| Maria Nila Extreme Spray Germany · 2025 · 400 ml → 300 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +1.5% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025 |
| Nivea Sun Schutz & Pflege LSF 30 Germany · 2025 · 250 ml → 200 ml (−20.0%) | +25.0% | +3.0% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2025 |
| Alverde Naturkosmetik Mineral Puder Germany · 2024 · 10 g → 5 g (−50.0%) | +100.0% | +1.6% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2024 |
| Fusswohl Fussbutter Sheabutter & Avocadoöl Germany · 2024 · 200 ml → 150 ml (−25.0%) | +24.4% | +1.6% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2024 |
| Garnier Hand Repair Germany · 2024 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +2.0% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2024 |
| Head & Shoulders XXL Classic Clean Germany · 2024 · 900 ml → 800 ml (−11.1%) | +12.5% | +1.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2024 |
| Manhattan Lasting Perfection Compact Make-up 009 Honey Germany · 2024 · 10 g → 7 g (−30.0%) | +114.4% | +2.3% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2024 |
| Neutrogena Body Lotion Gel Hydro Boost Germany · 2024 · 400 ml → 250 ml (−37.5%) | +27.7% | +2.0% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2024 |
| Schicker's Erdäpfelcreme Die Echte (Austria) Austria · 2024 · 300 ml → 250 ml (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +1.2% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024 |
| Vision zonnebrandmiddel Netherlands · 2024 · 200 g → 180 g (−10.0%) | +28.2% | +1.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (NL) · 2024 average vs 2023 |
| Garnier Ambre Solaire Sensitive expert+ Milch LSF 50+ Germany · 2023 · 200 ml → 175 ml (−12.5%) | +14.3% | +12.0% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2023 |
| Balea Leichte Bodylotion Germany · 2022 · 500 ml → 400 ml (−20.0%) | +11.8% | +6.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2022 |
| Elkos MED Bodylotion Urea Germany · 2021 · 400 ml → 300 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +0.7% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2021 |
| Elnett Haarspray Intensives Volumen Germany · 2021 · 300 ml → 250 ml (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +5.4% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2021 |
| Garnier Mizellen Reinigungswasser All-in-1 Normale Haut Germany · 2021 · 400 ml → 375 ml (−6.2%) | +40.4% | +4.3% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jul 2021 |
| Nivea Hand Creme Intensive Pflege Germany · 2021 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | −0.6% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2021 |
| Arya Laya Aloe Vera Body Lotion Germany · 2020 · 200 ml → 150 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +0.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020 |
| Dr. Hauschka Gesichtsöl Germany · 2020 · 30 ml → 18 ml (−40.0%) | +36.4% | +0.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020 |
| Ebelin Nagellack Entferner Acetonfrei, Aloe Vera Duft Germany · 2020 · 200 ml → 125 ml (−37.5%) | +9.5% | −2.6% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2020 |
| Rituals Dao Body Scrub Germany · 2020 · 325 ml → 200 ml (−38.5%) | +38.4% | +0.9% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2020 |
| TRESemmé Care & Protect heat protection spray (Hungary) Hungary · 2025 · 300 ml → 270 ml (−10.0%) | size only size cut alone +11.1% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Garnier Hand Repair hand cream (Austria) Austria · 2024 · 100 ml → 75 ml (−25.0%) | size only size cut alone +33.3% | +1.2% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024 |
| Neutrogena Deep Moisture body lotion (Austria) Austria · 2024 · 400 ml → 250 ml (−37.5%) | size only size cut alone +60.0% | +1.2% Other appliances, articles and products for personal care · Eurostat HICP (AT) · 12 months to Oct 2024 |
| Q-tips cotton swabs, warehouse-club multipack United States · 2024 · 1875 swabs → 1750 swabs (−6.7%) | size only size cut alone +7.1% | +0.5% Personal care products · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2024 |
| Songreve kids facial cleanser, candy scent (South Korea) South Korea · 2024 · 200 ml → 180 ml (−10.0%) | size only size cut alone +11.1% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
Official series used
Each personal care case is matched to one official series for its country. A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.
| Official series | Provider | Cases matched |
|---|---|---|
| Other appliances, articles and products for personal care DE:CP1312 | Eurostat HICP (DE) | 19 |
| Other appliances, articles and products for personal care AT:CP1312 | Eurostat HICP (AT) | 3 |
| Personal care products CUUR0000SEGB | BLS CPI-U (US) | 1 |
| Other appliances, articles and products for personal care NL:CP1312 | Eurostat HICP (NL) | 1 |
| Appliances, articles and products for personal care UK:D7EZ | ONS CPI (UK) | 1 |
Method and limits
Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.
Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when personal care shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.
Cite this page
ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: personal care hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/personal-care/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0).
More on personal care
- ShrinkRadar Index: all categories →Every category, country, month and year, with CSV downloads.
- Toothpaste, deodorant and personal care shrinkflation →Every documented case in one place, brand by brand.
- All Personal Care cases and tracked products →Size Facts, brands caught most often and products we check daily.
- shrinkflation-index.csv →Every Index figure, including this category, with case counts and a status column for thin rows.
Other categories in the Index
- Chocolate and candy +20.0% vs +8.7%
- Pasta, rice and meals +16.4% vs −0.7%
- Chips and snacks +19.5% vs +4.7%
- Dairy +11.1% vs +4.8%
- Breakfast cereal +25.0% vs +2.6%
- Laundry +14.5% vs +2.0%
- Coffee and tea +25.0% vs +11.6%
- Cookies and crackers +21.2% vs +1.3%
- Meat and fish +19.3% vs +3.0%
- Soap, shampoo and body wash +21.4% vs +1.9%
- Dish soap and cleaners +11.1% vs +1.7%
- Juice and soft drinks +33.2% vs +5.0%
- Frozen Foods +16.9% vs +3.8%
- Baking goods and spreads +25.1% vs +2.8%
- Pet Food +17.6% vs +1.9%
- Bread and bakery +16.0% vs +1.6%
- Toilet Paper +29.4% vs +28.8%
- Health and supplements +15.2% vs +3.2%
- Ice Cream +9.5% vs +6.6%
- Paper Towels +25.8% vs +28.8%
Closest to a figure (priced cases with an official match now, of 5 needed): Baby 4, needs 1 more; Household 4, needs 1 more; Oral Care 4, needs 1 more; Tissues 4, needs 1 more; Feminine Care 3, needs 2 more; Shaving & Razors 2, needs 3 more; Cat Litter & Pet Supplies 1, needs 4 more; Deodorant 1, needs 4 more; Bags, Foil & Wrap 0, needs 5 more.