Juice and soft drinks hidden inflation: +33.2% per unit vs +5.0% official inflation
By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build
When a juice and soft drinks pack shrinks, its price per unit jumps. In 20 documented juice and soft drinks shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2019–2026), the median price per unit changed +33.2%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +5.0%: official prices up 5.0%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 33.2% over the same periods.
same category, country and time+5.0%
20 of 20100%
shelf prices before and after20
median, all 32 cases since 2018+25.0%
Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI, Stats NZ CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.
In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite
Juice and soft drinks in one line
Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.
Juice and soft drinks: official prices were up 5.0% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 33.2% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 33.2% more per unit than the pack they replaced, against 5.0% official inflation for the same category, country and time (20 priced cases with an official match, 2019–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
In 100% of those juice and soft drinks cases (20 of 20), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.
Across all 32 documented juice and soft drinks shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 25.0%, before any change in the shelf price.
In Germany, juice and soft drinks packs that shrank were up 33.2% per unit, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 5.6% over the same periods (16 priced cases with an official match, 2019–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).
By country
The same comparison for juice and soft drinks cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 7 of 8 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.
| Country | Cases | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 16 (16 priced) | +33.2% | +5.6% | |
| United Kingdom | 3 (3 priced) | Too thin: 3 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Netherlands | 1 (1 priced) | Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| United States | 8 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| Brazil | 1 (0 priced) | No official series for this country | ||
| Spain | 1 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| France | 1 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
| New Zealand | 1 (0 priced) | Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5) | ||
By year
By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (0 juice and soft drinks cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.
| Year | Cases | Priced | Per unit (median) | Official, same cases (n) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 7 | 7 | +25.0% | +2.2% (7) |
| 2025 | 9 | 5 | +39.2% | +5.9% (5) |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | too thin | — |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | too thin | — |
| 2022 | 4 | 2 | too thin | — |
| 2021 | 2 | 2 | too thin | — |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | too thin | — |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | too thin | — |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | too thin | — |
The 32 juice and soft drinks cases
Which cases count. All 32 juice and soft drinks cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 20 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 12 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in). Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (1). Not listed: 6 older juice and soft drinks cases that changed before 2018, outside the range of the official data.
| Case (country · when · size) | Per unit | Official, matched |
|---|---|---|
| Beckers bester Klarer Apfelsaft Germany · 2026 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%) | +11.0% | +3.4% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2026 |
| Chaps Premium Zobo soft drink (Morrisons) United Kingdom · 2026 · 330 ml → 275 ml (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +3.0% Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 |
| Covelt Dixap Appel Netherlands · 2026 · 500 ml → 400 ml (−20.0%) | +16.9% | +2.1% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (NL) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months) |
| Gut & Günstig Italienische Limone Germany · 2026 · 62.5 g → 50 g (−20.0%) | +25.0% | −0.1% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2026 |
| innocent immunity shots, ginger (UK) United Kingdom · 2026 · 80 ml → 60 ml (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +2.2% Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Sep 2026 |
| Katlenburger Johannisbeer-Weinschorle Germany · 2026 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +2.2% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2026 |
| Morrisons ginger shot United Kingdom · 2026 · 100 ml → 60 ml (−40.0%) | +127.3% | +3.0% Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026 |
| Beckers Bester Roter Früchtepunsch Germany · 2025 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%) | +33.3% | +5.9% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025 |
| Freeway Iso Tonic Germany · 2025 · 750 ml → 500 ml (−33.3%) | +88.2% | +6.0% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2025 |
| Valensina Milde Orange Germany · 2025 · 1000 ml → 700 ml (−30.0%) | +42.9% | +5.5% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jan 2025 |
| Vilsa Leichte Bio-Limo Blaubeere Germany · 2025 · 0.75 l → 0.5 l (−33.3%) | +39.2% | +7.7% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2025 |
| Voelkel Orangensaft Germany · 2025 · 0.7 l → 0.5 l (−28.6%) | +33.0% | +5.9% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025 |
| Pepsi Germany · 2024 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +5.6% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2024 |
| Schwip Schwap Zero Cola & Orange Germany · 2024 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%) | +20.0% | +5.6% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2024 |
| Sodastream Orangen-Geschmack Germany · 2023 · 500 ml → 440 ml (−12.0%) | +13.6% | +9.1% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2023 |
| Gut & Günstig feine Beerenmischung Germany · 2022 · 750 g → 500 g (−33.3%) | +59.6% | +11.6% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2022 |
| Penny Bitter Lemon Germany · 2022 · 1.5 l → 1 l (−33.3%) | +24.6% | +7.4% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2022 |
| Blankenburger Orancia Germany · 2021 · 1000 ml → 700 ml (−30.0%) | +53.1% | +1.1% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2021 |
| Valensina Pink Grapfruit Germany · 2021 · 1 l → 0.9 l (−10.0%) | +11.1% | +4.4% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2021 |
| HiPP 100% Bio Direktsaft Karotte Germany · 2019 · 500 ml → 330 ml (−34.0%) | +115.0% | −0.4% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2019 |
| Dole Juices United States · 2025 · 64 oz → 59 oz (−7.8%) | size only size cut alone +8.5% | +3.1% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Sep 2025 |
| Keri fruit juice bottle (New Zealand) New Zealand · 2025 · 3 l → 2.4 l (−20.0%) | size only size cut alone +25.0% | +2.1% Soft drinks, waters and juices · Stats NZ CPI (NZ) · 12 months to Feb 2026 |
| Simply Orange juice carafe United States · 2025 · 52 fl oz → 46 fl oz (−11.5%) | size only size cut alone +13.0% | +1.9% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2025 average vs 2024 (same 11 months) |
| Simply Orange Orange Juice United States · 2025 · 64 oz → 59 oz (−7.8%) | size only size cut alone +8.5% | +1.4% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to May 2025 |
| Lipton Ice Tea bottle (France) France · 2023 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%) | size only size cut alone +20.0% | +10.9% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 12 months to Sep 2023 |
| Tang powdered drink Brazil · 2023 · 25 g → 18 g (−28.0%) | size only size cut alone +38.9% | no official match no official benchmark loaded for this country |
| Gatorade Thirst Quencher bottle United States · 2022 · 32 fl oz → 28 fl oz (−12.5%) | size only size cut alone +14.3% | +10.6% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2022 average vs 2021 |
| Pepsi-Cola large bottle (Spain) Spain · 2022 · 2000 ml → 1750 ml (−12.5%) | size only size cut alone +14.3% | +8.1% Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021 |
| Powerade United States · 2020 · 32 oz → 28 oz (−12.5%) | size only size cut alone +14.3% | +1.5% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Mar 2020 |
| Florida's Natural United States · 2018 · 59 oz → 52 oz (−11.9%) | size only size cut alone +13.5% | +2.5% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2018 |
| Florida's Natural orange juice (2018) United States · 2018 · 59 fl oz → 52 fl oz (−11.9%) | size only size cut alone +13.5% | +2.5% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2018 |
| Simply Orange United States · 2018 · 59 oz → 52 oz (−11.9%) | size only size cut alone +13.5% | −0.3% Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Apr 2018 |
Official series used
Each juice and soft drinks case is matched to one official series for its country. A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.
| Official series | Provider | Cases matched |
|---|---|---|
| Non-alcoholic beverages DE:CP012 | Eurostat HICP (DE) | 16 |
| Juices and nonalcoholic drinks CUUR0000SEFN | BLS CPI-U (US) | 8 |
| Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices UK:D7DF | ONS CPI (UK) | 3 |
| Non-alcoholic beverages ES:CP012 | Eurostat HICP (ES) | 1 |
| Non-alcoholic beverages FR:CP012 | Eurostat HICP (FR) | 1 |
| Non-alcoholic beverages NL:CP012 | Eurostat HICP (NL) | 1 |
| Soft drinks, waters and juices NZ:CPIQ.SE901402 | Stats NZ CPI (NZ) | 1 |
Method and limits
Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.
Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when juice and soft drinks shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.
Cite this page
ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: juice and soft drinks hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/juice-and-drinks/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0); Stats NZ CPI (CC BY 4.0).
More on juice and soft drinks
- ShrinkRadar Index: all categories →Every category, country, month and year, with CSV downloads.
- Juice, soda and drinks shrinkflation →Every documented case in one place, brand by brand.
- All Juice & Drinks cases and tracked products →Size Facts, brands caught most often and products we check daily.
- shrinkflation-index.csv →Every Index figure, including this category, with case counts and a status column for thin rows.
Other categories in the Index
- Chocolate and candy +20.0% vs +8.7%
- Pasta, rice and meals +16.4% vs −0.7%
- Chips and snacks +19.5% vs +4.7%
- Dairy +11.1% vs +4.8%
- Breakfast cereal +25.0% vs +2.6%
- Laundry +14.5% vs +2.0%
- Coffee and tea +25.0% vs +11.6%
- Cookies and crackers +21.2% vs +1.3%
- Meat and fish +19.3% vs +3.0%
- Personal Care +27.9% vs +1.6%
- Soap, shampoo and body wash +21.4% vs +1.9%
- Dish soap and cleaners +11.1% vs +1.7%
- Frozen Foods +16.9% vs +3.8%
- Baking goods and spreads +25.1% vs +2.8%
- Pet Food +17.6% vs +1.9%
- Bread and bakery +16.0% vs +1.6%
- Toilet Paper +29.4% vs +28.8%
- Health and supplements +15.2% vs +3.2%
- Ice Cream +9.5% vs +6.6%
- Paper Towels +25.8% vs +28.8%
Closest to a figure (priced cases with an official match now, of 5 needed): Baby 4, needs 1 more; Household 4, needs 1 more; Oral Care 4, needs 1 more; Tissues 4, needs 1 more; Feminine Care 3, needs 2 more; Shaving & Razors 2, needs 3 more; Cat Litter & Pet Supplies 1, needs 4 more; Deodorant 1, needs 4 more; Bags, Foil & Wrap 0, needs 5 more.