Juice and soft drinks hidden inflation: +33.2% per unit vs +5.0% official inflation

By ShrinkRadar · Updated 2026-11-05 · Part of the ShrinkRadar Index, recomputed from the case library and official price data on every build

When a juice and soft drinks pack shrinks, its price per unit jumps. In 20 documented juice and soft drinks shrinks with shelf prices before and after and an official match (2019–2026), the median price per unit changed +33.2%. Official inflation for the same cases, matched to each one’s category, country and time, was +5.0%: official prices up 5.0%, the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 33.2% over the same periods.

Juice and soft drinks
Price per unit at the shrink
median, 20 priced cases with an official match
+33.2%
Official inflation, same cases
same category, country and time
+5.0%
Cases where the per-unit rise beat official inflation
20 of 20
100%
Priced cases
shelf prices before and after
20
From the size cut alone
median, all 32 cases since 2018
+25.0%

Official data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U, Eurostat HICP, Office for National Statistics CPI, Stats NZ CPI. Recomputed on every build. Method and limits.

In one lineBy countryBy yearCasesOfficial seriesMethodCite

Juice and soft drinks in one line

Each line is computed from the tables below. Copy one with its source.

  1. Juice and soft drinks: official prices were up 5.0% and the ShrinkRadar per-unit price up 33.2% over the same periods. Packs that shrank cost a median 33.2% more per unit than the pack they replaced, against 5.0% official inflation for the same category, country and time (20 priced cases with an official match, 2019–2026, mostly from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

  2. In 100% of those juice and soft drinks cases (20 of 20), the price per unit rose more than official inflation for the same category, country and time.

  3. Across all 32 documented juice and soft drinks shrinks since 2018, the size cut alone raised the price per unit by a median 25.0%, before any change in the shelf price.

  4. In Germany, juice and soft drinks packs that shrank were up 33.2% per unit, while official prices (Eurostat HICP) for the same cases were up 5.6% over the same periods (16 priced cases with an official match, 2019–2026, all from Verbraucherzentrale Hamburg).

By country

The same comparison for juice and soft drinks cases by the country they come from, each against its own statistics office. A country needs at least 5 priced cases with an official match; 7 of 8 countries have fewer, and the table says so instead of showing a figure.

CountryCasesPer unit (median)Official, same casesBeat officialSize cut aloneOfficial data
Germany16 (16 priced)+33.2%+5.6%100%+36.7%Eurostat HICP
United Kingdom3 (3 priced)Too thin: 3 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewONS CPI
Netherlands1 (1 priced)Too thin: 1 priced case with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
United States8 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)+13.5%BLS CPI-U
Brazil1 (0 priced)No official series for this countrytoo few—
Spain1 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
France1 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewEurostat HICP
New Zealand1 (0 priced)Too thin: 0 priced cases with an official match (minimum 5)too fewStats NZ CPI

By year

By the year the pack changed. A year needs at least 5 priced cases; thin years are marked. Comparisons spanning several years (0 juice and soft drinks cases) are left out of this series but kept in the headline and the case list.

YearCasesPricedPer unit (median)Official, same cases (n)Size cut alone
2026 (so far)77+25.0%+2.2% (7)+33.3%
202595+39.2%+5.9% (5)+33.3%
202422too thin—too few
202331too thin—too few
202242too thin—too few
202122too thin—too few
202010too thin—too few
201911too thin—too few
201830too thin—too few

The 32 juice and soft drinks cases

Which cases count. All 32 juice and soft drinks cases that changed in 2018 or later are listed and count in the size-cut figure. The per-unit headline uses the 20 that have shelf prices before and after and an official match (listed first). Left out of the per-unit figure: 12 size-only cases (the source recorded no shelf prices; we never fill one in). Cases without an official match: no official benchmark loaded for this country (1). Not listed: 6 older juice and soft drinks cases that changed before 2018, outside the range of the official data.

Case (country · when · size)Per unitOfficial, matched
Beckers bester Klarer Apfelsaft
Germany · 2026 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%)
+11.0%+3.4%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to May 2026
Chaps Premium Zobo soft drink (Morrisons)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 330 ml → 275 ml (−16.7%)
+20.0%+3.0%
Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026
Covelt Dixap Appel
Netherlands · 2026 · 500 ml → 400 ml (−20.0%)
+16.9%+2.1%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (NL) · 2026 average vs 2025 (same 9 months)
Gut & Günstig Italienische Limone
Germany · 2026 · 62.5 g → 50 g (−20.0%)
+25.0%−0.1%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2026
innocent immunity shots, ginger (UK)
United Kingdom · 2026 · 80 ml → 60 ml (−25.0%)
+33.3%+2.2%
Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to Sep 2026
Katlenburger Johannisbeer-Weinschorle
Germany · 2026 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%)
+33.3%+2.2%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2026
Morrisons ginger shot
United Kingdom · 2026 · 100 ml → 60 ml (−40.0%)
+127.3%+3.0%
Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices · ONS CPI (UK) · 12 months to May 2026
Beckers Bester Roter Früchtepunsch
Germany · 2025 · 1 l → 0.75 l (−25.0%)
+33.3%+5.9%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025
Freeway Iso Tonic
Germany · 2025 · 750 ml → 500 ml (−33.3%)
+88.2%+6.0%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2025
Valensina Milde Orange
Germany · 2025 · 1000 ml → 700 ml (−30.0%)
+42.9%+5.5%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jan 2025
Vilsa Leichte Bio-Limo Blaubeere
Germany · 2025 · 0.75 l → 0.5 l (−33.3%)
+39.2%+7.7%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2025
Voelkel Orangensaft
Germany · 2025 · 0.7 l → 0.5 l (−28.6%)
+33.0%+5.9%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Dec 2025
Pepsi
Germany · 2024 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%)
+20.0%+5.6%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2024
Schwip Schwap Zero Cola & Orange
Germany · 2024 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%)
+20.0%+5.6%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Apr 2024
Sodastream Orangen-Geschmack
Germany · 2023 · 500 ml → 440 ml (−12.0%)
+13.6%+9.1%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Aug 2023
Gut & Günstig feine Beerenmischung
Germany · 2022 · 750 g → 500 g (−33.3%)
+59.6%+11.6%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Oct 2022
Penny Bitter Lemon
Germany · 2022 · 1.5 l → 1 l (−33.3%)
+24.6%+7.4%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Jun 2022
Blankenburger Orancia
Germany · 2021 · 1000 ml → 700 ml (−30.0%)
+53.1%+1.1%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Feb 2021
Valensina Pink Grapfruit
Germany · 2021 · 1 l → 0.9 l (−10.0%)
+11.1%+4.4%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2021
HiPP 100% Bio Direktsaft Karotte
Germany · 2019 · 500 ml → 330 ml (−34.0%)
+115.0%−0.4%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (DE) · 12 months to Sep 2019
Dole Juices
United States · 2025 · 64 oz → 59 oz (−7.8%)
size only
size cut alone +8.5%
+3.1%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Sep 2025
Keri fruit juice bottle (New Zealand)
New Zealand · 2025 · 3 l → 2.4 l (−20.0%)
size only
size cut alone +25.0%
+2.1%
Soft drinks, waters and juices · Stats NZ CPI (NZ) · 12 months to Feb 2026
Simply Orange juice carafe
United States · 2025 · 52 fl oz → 46 fl oz (−11.5%)
size only
size cut alone +13.0%
+1.9%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2025 average vs 2024 (same 11 months)
Simply Orange Orange Juice
United States · 2025 · 64 oz → 59 oz (−7.8%)
size only
size cut alone +8.5%
+1.4%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to May 2025
Lipton Ice Tea bottle (France)
France · 2023 · 1.5 l → 1.25 l (−16.7%)
size only
size cut alone +20.0%
+10.9%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (FR) · 12 months to Sep 2023
Tang powdered drink
Brazil · 2023 · 25 g → 18 g (−28.0%)
size only
size cut alone +38.9%
no official match
no official benchmark loaded for this country
Gatorade Thirst Quencher bottle
United States · 2022 · 32 fl oz → 28 fl oz (−12.5%)
size only
size cut alone +14.3%
+10.6%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 2022 average vs 2021
Pepsi-Cola large bottle (Spain)
Spain · 2022 · 2000 ml → 1750 ml (−12.5%)
size only
size cut alone +14.3%
+8.1%
Non-alcoholic beverages · Eurostat HICP (ES) · 2022 average vs 2021
Powerade
United States · 2020 · 32 oz → 28 oz (−12.5%)
size only
size cut alone +14.3%
+1.5%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Mar 2020
Florida's Natural
United States · 2018 · 59 oz → 52 oz (−11.9%)
size only
size cut alone +13.5%
+2.5%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2018
Florida's Natural orange juice (2018)
United States · 2018 · 59 fl oz → 52 fl oz (−11.9%)
size only
size cut alone +13.5%
+2.5%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Dec 2018
Simply Orange
United States · 2018 · 59 oz → 52 oz (−11.9%)
size only
size cut alone +13.5%
−0.3%
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks · BLS CPI-U (US) · 12 months to Apr 2018

Official series used

Each juice and soft drinks case is matched to one official series for its country. A broad match means no series exists for exactly this category, so the nearest wider one is used.

Official seriesProviderCases matched
Non-alcoholic beverages DE:CP012Eurostat HICP (DE)16
Juices and nonalcoholic drinks CUUR0000SEFNBLS CPI-U (US)8
Mineral waters, soft drinks and juices UK:D7DFONS CPI (UK)3
Non-alcoholic beverages ES:CP012Eurostat HICP (ES)1
Non-alcoholic beverages FR:CP012Eurostat HICP (FR)1
Non-alcoholic beverages NL:CP012Eurostat HICP (NL)1
Soft drinks, waters and juices NZ:CPIQ.SE901402Stats NZ CPI (NZ)1

Method and limits

Two measures per case. Size cut alone = old size ÷ new size − 1: what you pay more per unit if the shelf price did not change. Price per unit = (new price ÷ new size) ÷ (old price ÷ old size) − 1, from the shelf prices the source recorded. Official benchmark: the 12-month change of the matched series in the month the case was reported, or the annual-average change for cases with only a year, or the source’s own comparison period. Every case counts once and figures are medians; there is no spending weighting.

Limits. These are documented shrinks, not a random sample: sources report packs that got smaller, and the consumer agencies behind most priced cases usually report them when the price per unit rose. So the page shows how big the hidden rise is when juice and soft drinks shrinkflation happens, not how common it is. Official indexes already count a smaller pack at the same price as a price rise when the item is in their sample. Full method, thresholds and data refresh: ShrinkRadar Index method.

Cite this page

ShrinkRadar, “ShrinkRadar Index: juice and soft drinks hidden inflation”, https://shrinkradar.com/shrinkflation-index/juice-and-drinks/, accessed 2026-11-05. Data: ShrinkRadar case library; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U; Eurostat HICP; Office for National Statistics CPI (Open Government Licence v3.0); Stats NZ CPI (CC BY 4.0).

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